SAG Awards Predictions: Box Office Hits ‘Barbenheimer’ Could Dominate; Bradley Cooper, Emma Stone and Ryan Gosling Early Frontrunners
2023/11/09

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While negotiations between SAG-AFTRA and the AMPTP continue, the awards season is still in full swing. The SAG Awards, which honor the best achievements in film and television, hold significant importance during this time. It is worth noting that the union has clarified that submitting for awards consideration is not considered a promotion under the current strike order. Despite the strike, the SAG nominating committee, which was formed before the strike began in July, has paused all FYC (for your consideration) and marketing materials, even for films with an interim agreement. This means that all e-blasts and screeners for awards consideration are currently on hold until further notice.

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However, this does not mean that some of the year's biggest contenders will not dominate the awards race. Movies like Christopher Nolan's "Oppenheimer" and Greta Gerwig's "Barbie" are expected to receive multiple nominations. There is always room for surprises, as seen in previous SAG Awards where unexpected mentions have occurred. For example, Florence Pugh may receive a mention for her role as a Community Party/love interest, although she may not replace her co-star Emily Blunt. The supporting actress category, in particular, is currently wide open and could produce a few surprises. The SAG Awards have been a significant event since 1995, with many actors and actresses being recognized by their peers.

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In fact, only three actors have won an Oscar without receiving a SAG nomination: Marcia Gay Harden for "Pollock" (2000), Christoph Waltz for "Django Unchained" (2012), and Regina King for "If Beale Street Could Talk" (2018). Additionally, there have been four Oscar best picture winners that did not receive a SAG ensemble mention: "Braveheart" (1995), "The Shape of Water" (2017), "Green Book" (2018), and "Nomadland" (2020). This year, the 30th annual Screen Actors Guild Awards ceremony will be streamed live globally on Netflix for the first time, as part of a multi-year deal. The television categories will be added in the coming weeks.

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For the latest predictions in all Oscar categories, you can visit Variety's Awards Circuit.

The predictions reflect the current standings in the race and are updated every Thursday. It is important to note that these predictions do not reflect personal preferences for individual contenders. The awards season is fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. In terms of the Oscars, different stories unfold each year. There may be contenders who land nominations in other ceremonies but miss out on the Oscar by the end, similar to what happened with Michael Shannon for "99 Homes" or Maria Bello for "The Cooler.

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" There may also be smaller films that make noise and leave everyone wondering, like Sarah Silverman in "I Smile Back" or "Captain Fantastic" for best cast ensemble. The race is always dynamic, and predictions are updated regularly.

In conclusion, the SAG Awards continue to play a significant role in the awards season. Despite the ongoing negotiations and the limitations due to the strike, the race for this year's awards is heating up, with contenders like "Oppenheimer" and "Barbie" expected to dominate. As always, there is room for surprises, and the predictions are subject to change as the awards season progresses.

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